Let’s face it; convention delegate counting in Virginia is hardly an exact science, and most of the discussion surrounding this Washington Post piece on the U.S. Senate race has been on Marshall’s strength in NoVa (Mason Conservative) or Gilmore’s bluster (Shaun Kenney).
Still, I am frankly stunned that this comment from Delegate Marshall seemed to go unnoticed (Post):
Marshall said he has also snared about half of the delegates in heavily Republican Chesterfield County in suburban Richmond.
Now, I have never lived in the Richmond suburbs. For all I know, there is some deep and unabiding hatred between Chesterfield and Henrico. Barring that, if Marshall is right, this race is over. Gilmore should be able win Chesterfield in a walk. If Marshall has (at worst) fought him to a draw there, where else has he outperformed expectations? We have already seen Marshall crush Gilmore in the Fredericksburg area despite having all three unit chairs backing the latter when the mass meetings started (here in Spotsy, the pro-Gilmore Rob Stuber stepped down and was replaced by the pro-Marshall Bryce Reeves).
Gilmore’s people can talk about paid staff and statewide networks all they want. If it didn’t win them Chesterfield, it won’t win them the nomination, period.
Cross-posted to the right-wing liberal
April 12, 2008 at 11:39 pm |
[...] Cross-posted to Bloggers 4 Bob Marshall [...]